Transit-oriented development: Literature review and evaluation of TOD potential across 50 Chinese cities

Wangtu Ato Xu

Xiamen University, China

Andrew Guthrie

Humphrey School of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota

Yingling Fan

Humphrey School of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota

Yongling Li

Department of Human Geography and Planning, Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5198/jtlu.2017.922

Keywords: Urban policy, Transit-oriented development (TOD), Land development, metro, China.


Abstract

Transit-oriented development (TOD) has been widely accepted in recent years as an important urban development policy. This article reviews the existing TOD literature pertinent to conditions in China, introduces TOD practices in China, and evaluates land development impacts of TOD across 50 Chinese cities that either have metro systems already or expect to have operating metro systems by 2020. The evaluation analysis contributes to the existing literature because most research on TOD in Chinese cities has focused on large, national or provincial capitals such as Beijing, Shanghai, and/or Guangzhou. Based on simulation analysis, we evaluate TOD’s land development impacts across all Chinese cities that are expected to have metro systems by 2020. Our results show that the second- as well as the third-class cities of China will have more potential for TOD implementation than the first-class cities in the next five years.

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